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| Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH) is going to run for the Senate. He faces a tough road. |
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President Joe Biden will deliver his Joint Session of Congress on Wednesday. This is not a State of the Union but it carries itself like one. The speech will not have a large gathering due to COVID-19 but it's expected to have a message to Americans and it could be a make or break for Biden.
Republicans are going to seize on the words. They are also going to fight to keep a handful of seats from flipping to the Democrats.
Outgoing senator Rob Portman was once considered a Maverick. You know those Republicans who often go against the party when it comes to decisive votes. Portman was relatively a moderate at one time. Now he's a full blown white nationalist. He is 96% supportive of Washed Up 45.
Washed Up 45 lost his election and to this day continues to push the lie that the election was stolen.
Portman like many Republicans said the election is over and its time to move on. He was expected to face a challenger from the right. So instead of dealing with the drama of Washington, DC and feeling like he's accomplished enough, he retires.
Portman is one of the many Republicans who are stepping aside. He believes the toxic nature of many of his fellow Republicans and some Democrats had made the job more stressful. He felt the time for someone new to take on the challenges.
Enter Tim Ryan.
The former 2020 Democratic candidate for president and current U.S. Representative from the 13th Congressional District is abandoning a crucial swing district for the risk of being a sacrificial lamb.
Ryan who slammed Republicans this year for being obsessed with Dr. Seuss and Pepe Le Pew is now throwing his hat in the ring for the open seat.
Ryan, like Dayton mayor Nan Whaley is going to find it difficult to win. This state is Ohio. This state is a former bellwether. It's more whiter and more conservative than normal. The state went to Washed Up 45 in 2016 and 2020. Despite the economic turmoils, the pandemic and the opioid crisis, this state support the former president by eight points. His opponent, Joe Biden won the election but lost Ohio badly.
President Joe Biden did not make a strong pitch for the state. He better going into 2024 because the state is expected to lose a congressional district and it could damage Ohio Democrats going into the presidential election. I am guessing that Ryan is going to leave the seat and Republicans will have the power to redistrict the district to favor Republicans.
Ryan represents parts of Akron and most of Youngstown. He is a rust city Democrat who is the brown bag and blue jeans wearing lawmaker.
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| Progressive titan Sherrod Brown will have to share knowledge to Tim Ryan. Ryan, a moderate lawmaker from Youngstown will find a tough road ahead to win over Ohioans. |
The 10-term lawmaker decided to make a bid by filing with the Federal Elections Commission.
"The success of America isn't housed in the halls of Congress. It lies in the calloused hands and the unrelenting grit of America's workers. Those who dug the deepest sent our nation souring."
Ryan, 47 is going to champion himself as the champion of the working class and he will try to distance himself from the polarizing members of Congress like House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).
Pelosi and Ryan have mutual disliking towards each other. He tried to unseat her multiple times.
Ryan blamed Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) and Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) for the flyover losses in Midwest, South and Mountain West. He is correct. The far-left's message resonated with independents who ended up voting Republican.
Biden only managed to carry 7% of the Republican support.
Ryan does not excite the Democrats.
Washed Up 45 carried Youngstown. The city covers Mahoning and Trumbull Counties. Trumbull County went to the former president in 2016 and 2020. Mahoning County for the first time in 40 years went to the former president in 2020.
Ryan is likely the clear favorite. With former Ohio health director Dr. Amy Acton opting out a run for the seat, it clears the way for the lawmaker to make a play.
It appears that former Ohio Treasurer Josh Mandel buried his crossdressing photos. He is running for a third time. He ran the first two times against Sherrod Brown. The first time, he lost badly. The third time, he stepped down from his position as Ohio Treasurer and left the race. The second time, he dropped out when allegations of sexual abuse and crossdressing came into the campaign. It went to former car dealer and former lawmaker Jim Renacci. He would lose badly to Brown. Now Mandal is back and this time he's going full white nationalist. He and a handful of Republicans like J.D. Vance, Jane Timken, Bernie Moreno and Matt Dolan are going to duke it out for the nomination.
The Republicans will eventually win this seat. It's trending more likely Republican.
Ryan better work hard to win over Dayton, Youngstown and Athens. These communities will be crucial for the governor's race. If the Democrat does win the governor's race, then it's likely they'll win the Senate.
Gov. Mike DeWine looks likely to win reelection given the way Ohio is.
Had Acton or a person of color who is not Nina Turner ran, it would be slightly competitive.
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