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| As expected, Ohio is being pushed out. North Carolina is the 7th most populated state. Image made by Grok. |
North Carolina is on pace to become the 7th most populated state. It will surpass Ohio and Georgia.
Ohio will be the 9th most populated state by 2040.
Republicans, you own this. A state that has a majority white population with little growth in migrants, people of color and regressive laws keep Ohio in the Rust Belt.
Of the Midwestern cities, Chicago, Columbus, Indianapolis, Kansas City and Detroit. They are on the decline. Chicago will become the fourth largest city in 2040. Columbus will cap its population at 1.2 million by 2030. Indianapolis will cap population at 1.02 million by 2030.
The Midwest is on pace to gain but in the long-term it will lose to the Mid-Atlantic, Deep South and Sun Belt.
President Donald J. Trump carried Ohio in 2016, 2020 and 2024. So it is an end to the bellweather status of Ohio. It picked Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
Trump will be the only modern day president to keep Ohio in his corner. Florida also lost its bellweather status too.
Projected Population Change, 2025-30
North Carolina has a population of 11.2 million. It will keep growing due to sprawling communities.
But the risks of downfall are eminent.
Despite the catastrophic flooding, the endless hurricane damages, the neverending gun violence and urban sprawl, the Tar Hill State is building a stable infrastructure as well as a growing suburban and exurban base.
Cities like Charlotte, Raleigh, Durham, Greensboro, High Point, Winston-Salem, Fayetteville, Hickory, Asheville, Greenville, Cary, Wilmington, Burlington, Wilson, Goldsboro and Rocky Mount have grown in population.
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| Boom in North Carolina. |
North Carolina is projected to reach 11.7 million people by 2030 according to latest population projections. As a result of this growth, and given trends in other states shown in the U.S. Census Bureau’s latest population estimates, the state will gain an additional congressional seat following the 2030 Census.
The remainder of the state’s population in 2030—8,054,000 people—is projected to live within the 24 urban or regional center/suburban counties. This means 69% of the state’s projected 2030 population will live in an urban or regional center/suburban county.
By 2060, that proportion is expected to rise to more than 77%, with 11,893,000 million people living in urban or regional center/suburban counties (28 counties). Less than a quarter of North Carolina’s projected population will live in the remaining 72 rural counties (3,477,000 people).
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