That Redistricting Fiasco!

Despite the redistricting, Ohio Republicans got swept out. Texas Republicans got beaten out. North Carolina Republicans got swept out. Republicans in California are a critically endangered species.

Texas, Tennessee, California, North Carolina, Missouri, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Louisiana, Alabama and Utah did mid decade redistricting. 

The Republicans were hoping to secure a permanent majority with the redrawing of U.S. Congressional Districts in states President Donald J. Trump won in 2024. The president aggressively pushed for Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, Alabama, Ohio and Louisiana to redraw their maps.

The maps were approved by Republican governors Greg Abbott of Texas, Mike DeWine of Ohio, Bill Lee of Tennessee, Ron DeSantis of Florida, Kay Ivey of Louisiana, Spencer Cox of Utah, Jeff Landry of Louisiana and Mike Kehoe of Missouri. North Carolina Republicans overrode Democratic governor Josh Stein's veto. The Virginia Republicans took the voter approved mandate to change the maps to state court and it was thrown out. California governor Gavin Newsom signed the new congressional map approved despite the Trump Administration threats to sue. The federal court threw out Utah and Missouri's congressional maps. 

The Midterm results showed the Republican plan literally blew up in their faces.

We are still awaiting the results of 19 House races and 2 Senate races. But the outlook for the Republicans in some districts are bad. So according to Wikipedia, the results were a generational swing.

Republicans incumbent who lost to Democrats.

Arizona 6: Juan Ciscomani (first elected in 2022) lost to JoAnna Mendoza.

California 1: James Gallagher (first elected in 2026) lost to Mike McGuire.

California 22: David Valadao (first elected in 2012, and then re-elected in 2020 after losing in 2018) lost to Randy Villegas.

Colorado 4: Lauren Boebert (first elected in 2020) lost to Eileen Laubacher.

Colorado 5: Jeff Crank (first elected in 2024) lost to Jessica Killin.

Colorado 8: Gabe Evans (first elected in 2024) lost to Manny Rutinel.

Guam at-large: James Moylan (first elected in 2022) lost to Alicia Limtiaco.

Indiana 5: Victoria Spartz (first elected in 2020) lost to J. D. Ford.

Iowa 1: Mariannette Miller-Meeks (first elected in 2020) lost to Christina Bohannan.

Iowa 3: Zach Nunn (first elected in 2022) lost to Sarah Trone Garriott.

Michigan 4: Bill Huizenga (first elected in 2010) lost to Sean McCann.

Michigan 7: Tom Barrett (first elected in 2024) lost to William Lawrence.

Missouri 2: Ann Wagner (first elected in 2012) lost to Fred Wellman.

New Jersey 2: Jeff Van Drew (first elected in 2018 as a Democrat) lost to Zack Mullock.

New Jersey 7: Thomas Kean Jr. (first elected in 2022) lost to Rebecca Bennett.

New York 17: Mike Lawler (first elected in 2022) lost to Cait Conley.

North Carolina 5: Virginia Foxx (first elected in 2004) lost to Chuck Hubbard.

North Carolina 6: Addison McDowell (first elected in 2024) lost to Cyril Jefferson.

North Carolina 9: Richard Hudson (first elected in 2012) lost to Richard Ojeda.

North Carolina 13: Brad Knott (first elected in 2024) lost to Paul Barringer.

North Carolina 14: Tim Moore (first elected in 2024) lost to LaKesha Womack.

Ohio 7: Max Miller (first elected in 2022) lost to Brian Poindexter.

Ohio 10: Mike Turner (first elected in 2002) lost to Kristina Knickerbocker.

Ohio 15: Mike Carey (first elected in 2021) lost to Don Leonard.

Pennsylvania 1: Brian Fitzpatrick (first elected in 2016) lost to Bob Harvie.

Pennsylvania 7: Ryan Mackenzie (first elected in 2024) lost to Bob Brooks.

Pennsylvania 8: Rob Bresnahan (first elected in 2024) lost to Paige Cognetti.

Pennsylvania 10: Scott Perry (first elected in 2012) lost to Janelle Stelson.

Tennessee 4: Scott DesJarlais (first elected in 2010) lost to Victoria Broderick.

Texas 15: Monica De La Cruz (first elected in 2022) lost to Bobby Pulido.

Virginia 1: Rob Wittman (first elected in 2007) lost to Shannon Taylor.

Virginia 2: Jen Kiggans (first elected in 2022) lost to Elaine Luria.

Wisconsin 1: Bryan Steil (first elected in 2018) lost to Mitchell Berman.

Wisconsin 3: Derrick Van Orden (first elected in 2022) lost to Rebecca Cooke.

North Carolina had a Republican redistricting that backfired. Democrats wiped out many of the most MAGA friendliest Republicans.

Independent seat was won by a Democrat.

California 6: Kevin Kiley (first elected in 2022 as a Republican) lost to Richard Pan.

Open seats won by Democrats 

Arizona 1: Won by Amish Shah.

California 48: Won by Marni von Wilpert.

Iowa 2: Won by Lindsay James.

Kentucky 6: Won by Zach Dembo.

Michigan 10: Won by Christina Hines.

Montana 1: Won by Sam Forstag.

Nebraska 2: Won by Denise Powell.

Nevada 2: Won by Teresa Benitez-Thompson.

North Carolina 11: Won by Jamie Ager.

South Carolina 1: Won by Nancy Lacore.

Texas 23: Won by Katy Padilla Stout.

Utah 1: Won by Ben McAdams.

Open seats won by Republicans 

Maine 2: Won by Paul LePage.

Tennessee 9: Won by Brent Taylor.

Texas 32: Won by Jace Yarbrough.

Open seats held by Democrats.

California 11: Won by Scott Wiener.

California 26: Won by Jacqui Irwin.

California 38: Won by Hilda Solis.

Colorado 1: Won by Melat Kiros.

Connecticut 1: Won by Luke Bronin.

District of Columbia at-large: Won by Robert White.

Florida 22: Won by Pia Dandiya.

Florida 24: Won by Oliver Gilbert.

Georgia 13: Won by Jasmine Clark.

Illinois 2: Won by Donna Miller.

Illinois 4: Won by Patty Garcia.

Illinois 7: Won by La Shawn Ford.

Illinois 8: Won by Melissa Bean.

Illinois 9: Won by Daniel Biss.

Massachusetts 6: Won by Dan Koh.

Maryland 5: Won by Adrian Boafo.

Michigan 11: Won by Jeremy Moss.

Michigan 13: Won by Donavan McKinney.

Minnesota 2: Won by Matt Little.

New Jersey 12: Won by Adam Hamawy.

New Hampshire 1: Won by Stefany Shaheen.

New York 7: Won by Claire Valdez.

New York 10: Won by Brad Lander.

New York 12: Won by Micah Lasher.

New York 13: Won by Darializa Avila Chevalier.

Pennsylvania 3: Won by Chris Rabb.

Texas 9: Won by Leticia Gutierrez.

Texas 30: Won by Frederick Haynes III.

Texas 33: Won by Colin Allred.

Texas 35: Won by Johnny Garcia.

U.S. Virgin Islands at-large: Won by Janelle Sarauw.

Open Seats held by Republicans 

Alabama 1: Won by Jerry Carl.

Arizona 5: Won by Mark Lamb.

Florida 2: Won by Austin Rogers.

Florida 11: Won by Joe Strada.

Florida 16: Won by Sydney Gruters.

Florida 19: Won by Jim Schwartzel.

Georgia 1: Won by Jim Kingston.

Georgia 10: Won by Houston Gaines.

Georgia 11: Won by John Cowan.

Iowa 4: Won by Chris McGowan.

Kentucky 4: Won by Ed Gallrein.

Missouri 6: Won by Chris Stigall.

New York 21: Won by Anthony Constantino.

Oklahoma 1: Won by Mark Tedford.

South Carolina 5: Won by Wes Climer.

South Dakota at-large: Won by Marty Jackley.

Tennessee 5: Won by Charlie Hatcher.

Tennessee 6: Won by Johnny Garrett.

Texas 2: Won by Steve Toth.

Texas 8: Won by Jessica Hart Steinmann.

Texas 10: Won by Chris Gober.

Texas 19: Won by Tom Sell.

Texas 21: Won by Mark Teixeira.

Texas 22: Won by Trever Nehls.

Texas 38: Won by Jon Bonck.

Washington 4: Won by Amanda McKinney.

Wisconsin 7: Won by Michael Alfonso.

Wyoming at-large: Won by Chuck Gray.

California Democrats have a 48 seat majority. The four districts in Nevada went to Democrats.

2028 senators who may face competitive races.

Chuck Grassley, Iowa.

John Fetterman, Pennsylvania.

Mark Kelly, Arizona.

Ron Johnson, Wisconsin.

Raphael Warnock, Georgia.

Ashley Moody, Florida.

Sherrod Brown, Ohio.

Maggie Hassan, New Hampshire.

Lisa Murkowski, Alaska.

2028 potential senate challenges

Tim Scott, South Carolina.

Ted Budd, North Carolina.

Eric Schmitt, Missouri.

Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada.

Looking forward, the Democrats may have scored one of their biggest wins in history, but the ground game is undetermined. While some are calling for impeaching Trump a third time and show hearings for members of his administration, most Americans want generational change. 

The Democrats better the focus on the economy, ending the war with Iran, a complete dismantling of AI data centers, an end to military/financial aid to Israel, an end to military aid to Ukraine, a push for tax hikes on billionaires, a permanent safety net for all in need, voter protection, immigration reform, an end to gun violence and an end to corruption.

The president is literally blocked from picking Supreme Court nominees (for now). He cannot pick a nominee that is too conservative. He has to compromise on most of his agenda. He cannot rely on John Fetterman to be a tie breaker or Vice President JD Vance.