Tuesday, May 05, 2020

Bite Your Nails!

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will find ways to keep the Republicans in the majority. McConnell and Donald Trump will use the help of foreign adversaries to win.

Republicans and Democrats better be cautious in 2020.

If folks go to the polls or do mail-in ballots, someone's going to pay for this.

Donald J. Trump's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic is getting bad marks. The U.S. estimates have went up significantly. As Dr. Anthony Fauci and Dr. Deborah Brix stated, we could see over 100,000 to 2 million people die from the coronavirus. Trump at first thought this would "go away" and believed this was a "hoax."

Trump demands states get their economies rolling despite the increase in deaths. It is said by June, we will have over 150,000 people die from the coronavirus.

The U.S. Senate is in play. The math looks favorable for Democrats but I still rank it as toss up.

ALABAMA - Doug Jones (Democrat) (Running) (Leans Republican)
ARIZONA - Martha McSally (Republican) (Running) (Toss Up)
COLORADO - Cory Gardner (Republican) (Running) (Toss Up)
GEORGIA - David Perdue (Republican) (Leans Republican)
GEORGIA - Kelly Loeffler (Republican) (Leans Republican)
IOWA - Joni Ernst (Republican) (Leans Republican)
KENTUCKY - Mitch McConnell (Leans Republican)
MAINE - Susan Collins (Republican) (Leans Republican)
MICHIGAN - Gary Peters (Democrat) (Leans Democrat)
MONTANA - Steve Daines (Republican) (Leans Republican)
NEW HAMPSHIRE - Jeanne Sheehan (Democrat) (Leans Democrat)
NORTH CAROLINA - Thom Tillis (Republican) (Toss Up)
SOUTH CAROLINA - Lindsey Graham (Republican) (Likely Republican)
Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ) didn't win the senate race in 2018 but was appointed Senator shortly after. She will face a tough challenger by the name of Mark Kelly, the husband of former lawmaker Gabrielle Giffords. Giffords was shot in 2011/
With Donald J. Trump on the ballot, Republicans may have a slight advantage in holding onto the Senate. If Trump's popularity continues to slide downward, Republicans better start panicking.

The economy, COVID-19, unemployment and the U.S. Supreme Court will be issues on the 2020 ballot.

Joe Biden, the presumptive will have to deal with a disgruntled base of leftists. They wanted Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) as their nominee and they're willing to punish Democrats for picking Biden over Sanders. The Russian Federation and Republicans are hoping that Democrats are discouraged to vote this election.

Trump is counting on Republicans to turn out in masses.

However, Trump has a loyal base of supporters and they're going to support Republicans. Republicans have been scrambling to win over voters disgruntled with Democrats. The coronavirus pandemic as well as Republican lawmakers profiting from it
Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO) is the weakest Republican.
There are 33 states that have Senate elections. There are two special elections.

The senators who should be worried. Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL), Sen. Martha McSally (R-AZ), Sen. Cory Gardner (R-CO), Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) and Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI) are the most vulnerable senators in the 2020 Senate Elections.

The Democrats need only four seats to retake back the Senate.

There are some who should take their challengers seriously. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN), Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA), Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), Sen. David Perdue (R-GA), Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT), Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) and Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA).
Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL) ran against Roy Moore, a controversial former state supreme court justice. Tommy Tuberville and former senator/attorney general Jeff Sessions will face off in a run-off. Trump will support the winner. Jones is the weakest Democrat. He will need a strong Black turnout to beat the Republican.
Those who I believe are safe are Sen. Mike Rounds (R-SD), Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV), Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK), Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE), Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS), Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA), Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL), Sen. Jim Risch (R-ID), Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR), Sen. Chris Coons (D-DE) and Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK).

What for movement in Iowa, Colorado, Arizona, South Carolina, Alabama, Maine and Michigan.

If Donald J. Trump wins reelection but loses the control of the Senate and House, Trump will not be able to get a Supreme Court nominee until 2023.

If Joe Biden win the presidency but Republicans control the Senate and House, Biden will be faced with allegations from Ukraine to Tara Reade. Republicans will try to impeach Biden.

Right now, who knows the outcome of this election!

Around September, I'll do another recap on the U.S. Senate race.



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