Nate Silver: Your Guess Is Good As Mine!

Don't expect a blowout for Clinton says Nate Silver.

Going into the last three days of the presidential election. Hillary Clinton has a 60% chance at winning the presidency. A big drop from 85%. Mainly due to James Comey's FBI memo to Republicans over them goddamn emails.

Clinton is confident. She built a good ground game with the GOTV (get out to vote).

Florida, Nevada, Ohio, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Iowa are up for grabs and the Republican nominee Donald Trump needs these states to win the White House.

Nate Silver, the genius of stats is stomped by his own calculations. Fivethirtyeight.com is the best indicator of who's likely going to be president. Today, he's says that it's anybody's game and the Democrats are panicking.

I conclude that Donald Trump has 40% chance at winning the presidency. It's driven the narrative that Trump is anchoring the emails around Hillary Clinton's neck. Also Republicans who were on the fence are "coming home" as Mike Pence puts it.

Silver is being criticized by Huffington Post editor in chief Ryan Grim for allegedly "putting the thumb on the scales."

It sparked a brief feud between the two.

Silver is right. The Democrats should take nothing for granted. It's still toss up. Clinton doesn't need Ohio and Florida to win. She needs to hold on to states she already carrying.

So far Trump has studied the trends and his campaign felt an opportunity is ahead in states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Minnesota.

Trump With A Side Yams!

Trump goes to the sides courtesy of the Secret Service.

The Secret Service had to rush Donald Trump off stage during a campaign stop in Reno.

A scuffle happened in the audience as a White male with a hoodie tried to approach the stage where Trump was doing his stump speech. The Republican nominee was quickly rushed off stage.

Trump was in the middle of the stump speech and he had his hand over his eyes to block a glare from the stage lights. Soon after the Secret Service agents went hard and grabbed him and escorted him off the stage. Trump took a duck down and left the stage.

The crowd was frightened and angry at the guy who interrupted the event. The man was quickly caught and detained.

Trump returned to the stage and praised the Secret Service.

"I would like to thank the United States Secret Service and the law enforcement resources in Reno and the state of Nevada for their fast and professional response. I also want to thank the many thousands of people present for their unwavering and unbelievable support. Nothing will stop us! We will make America great.

This would be the second time the Secret Service got involved. In Dayton, Ohio, a man tried to rush the stage and it really rattled Trump.

Jay and Bey On The Hill!

Jigga and Queen Bey rock with Hillary Clinton. 

Celebrity firepower is in effect. Conservatives are outraged by Hollywood's 2:1 support of the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

They're outraged over the guests who came to perform in Ohio for Clinton.

Jay-Z came to Cleveland yesterday for a special performance. The media mogul performed a free show for the Clinton presidential campaign. He even brought his wife Queen Bey to the show. The concert was a get out to vote rally for young and Black voters.

"I don't have any ill will toward [Donald Trump], but his conversation is divisive...he cannot be our president."

Clinton is trailing Trump in Ohio by 3 points. It's a last ditch effort to get out to vote.

Ohio is the crucial swing state for Republicans and Democrats alike. No Republican ever won the White House without carrying the Buckeye state. Ohio's 18 electoral votes are necessary for Trump, not so much for Clinton.

Donald Trump's allies were none to happy about Jigga's performance. They believe that Jay and Bey are anti-cop, anti-White, elitists and of course, "UPPITY NIGGERS".

This week, Republican country music fans were outraged over Queen Bey's performance at the Country Music Awards. They were blasting the CMAs for allowing this "thug" on the stage.

CMAs also faced scrutiny over allegedly scrubbing the footage of the concert.

Trump's Black support is currently at 5% by most accounts. He has the Omarosa, Diamond & Silk, Wisconsin sheriff David Clarke, Kevin Jackson, Don King, Mike Tyson and Dennis Rodman's support.

One Black Trumper is not happy about this.

Darrell Scott, a Cleveland Heights pastor who supports Trump blasted the decision to host Jay.

He called the media mogul a drug pusher and a slime to the Black community. Scott hosted Trump and Sean "Softball" Hannity for a town hall on Black issues. The audience was packed with White folks.

Lou Dobbs claimed that Clinton allow Jay perform his songs with the N-word.

Trump says he doesn't care. He could pull massive crowds without Jay-Z and Beyonce or whoever else she pulls in.

His performance at the Cleveland State University was big.

Clinton also dismissed the criticism from the right. She basically said that she's got a better ground game in courting voters.

Ray Tensing Wore Confederate Shirt When He Bucked Sam DuBose!

Killer wore Confederate shirt when he killed unarmed motorist. Ray Tensing is a former University of Cincinnati cop charged with murder of Sam DuBose.

Bombshell. Ray Tensing was wearing The Losing Side of The Civil War T-shirt under his police uniform. The fired University of Cincinnati cop is facing murder charges that could put his ass in the iron college for LIFE.

Tensing is innocent until proven guilty.

The killer wore this shirt when he fatally shot Sam DuBose after a traffic shot. The t-shirt was submitted by Cincinnati police investigator Jimmy Nghia Duc Pham.

The shirt had "Great Smoky Mountains and it was presented during the crime scene investigation.

This shirt was worn by ex-cop who bucked Sam DuBose.

Pham testified that investigators found a jar containing marijuana within the Honda Accord that DuBose was in. Tensing contends that he was being dragged by DuBose.

DuBose was unarmed at the time.

Tensing is trying the use-of-force excuse to justify the shooting. He said that he feared for his life.

More damning evidence came forth. Tensing was the leader of citations and arrest. Tensing had stopped more Black and Hispanic motorists and pedestrians than normal. About 75% of the stops were Black and 15% Hispanic.

Tensing claims that he's doing his job for public safety. But one is questioning why is his citations largely rounded towards Blacks.

Now you probably think like me. I bet you money, he'll get off. He will say that DuBose's history was reason. The law will use Jedi mind tricks to sway a jury into believing the cop had a benefit of the doubt.

The right isn't talking about this.

The FBI Plays Taps!

FBI director James Comey under fire for releasing Clinton memo close to election.

President Barack Obama has weigh in on the controversy with Hillary Clinton's emails. He basically shrugged off the controversy and somewhat defended his handpicked FBI director's decision. He did say James Comey's that "timing" was off but it's not going to derail Clinton.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation is doing an investigation on itself after revelations of insider leaks were made public. Who got the information about the Comey letter?

You know the right has telephoned the narrative that an indictment is "LIKELY".

Fox News host Bret Baier said that the FBI is seriously considering an indictment according to two sources. This has something to do with The Clinton Foundation, a charity organization the right has targeted for allegedly being a "play for pay" syndicate. The foundation became a focus of conservative agitation for its ties to nations that harbor terrorism.

The FBI involvement in the foundation and email server set off a week of speculation. Donald Trump using this as a weapon against Hillary Clinton. The Clinton campaign and Democrats are starting to get a tad bit nervous about the election. They're cautiously optimistic but aren't taking anything for granted.

Baier would retract the claim after the junk food media went to the FBI to ask for information about any possible indictment. The FBI said that the investigation is ongoing but no word of indictment at this moment.

On top of that, Ed Klein claims that conservative FBI agents threatened to walk because of the Department of Justice's refusal to indict Clinton or her aides for the email server. James Comey, the FBI director is facing heat from Democrats for releasing this memo to the Republicans in the final weeks of the election.

Slimeball tells Fox News that he was tipped by the FBI about looking into the Clinton Foundation and the server.

The FBI memo was hinted by former mayor Rudy Giuliani. He was on Fox News bragging about some damaging information about Clinton. He was almost giddy about this. Giuliani admits that the Trump campaign had advance warning from the FBI. He even said. "darn right, he got the memo."

Now the FBI is working on plugging the leaks. Matter of fact, they're going to do a sweep.

The FBI is under fire for some of its members leaking information to the junk food media (i.e. Fox).

Of course, they're now telling Americans to be vigilant on Election Day. The al-Qaeda group is plotting suicide bombers to interrupt polling centers near commercial districts.

Golden Harvest!

On his way out, he will leave unemployment rate at the lowest.

President Barack Obama's final two months are here. The first African American president leaves the White House on January 20th, 2017. On his way out, he may leave his predecessor with the lowest unemployment rate in American history.

The job numbers for October are out. It nets 161,000 jobs, 73-months of job growth. It's amazing.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 161,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. August and September data was revised to show 44,000 more jobs created than previously reported.

The unemployment rate fell one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.9 percent, in part as people dropped out the labor force.

The closely watched employment report was published four days before the Nov. 8 presidential election. It came on the heels of data last week showing an acceleration in economic growth in the third quarter. But economists see little impact from the report on an increasingly bitter and divisive campaign.

“There is so much noise out there right now, everyone is screaming from the rooftops. I just don’t know that any particular data point is going to have a great bearing on the election, in and of itself,” said Sam Bullard, senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Though the U.S. central bank is expected to increase borrowing costs next month, that decision will likely depend on the outcome of Tuesday’s election. The tight race between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and her Republican rival Donald Trump has rattled financial markets.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing by 175,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate falling one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.9 percent.

The Fed on Wednesday left interest rates unchanged but said its monetary policy-setting committee “judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen.” It lifted its benchmark overnight interest rate last December for the first time in nearly a decade.

“The election could still derail the Fed’s plans, particularly if a very close result led to one or both candidates contesting it via the courts,” said Paul Ashworth, chief economist at Capital Economics in Toronto.

TREND HAS SLOWED

The trend in employment growth has slowed as the labor market nears full employment and the economy’s recovery from the 2007-09 recession shows signs of aging.

Employment growth so far this year has averaged 181,000 jobs per month, down from an average gain of 229,000 per month in 2015. Still, the monthly job gains are more than enough to absorb new entrants into the labor market.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said the economy needs to create just under 100,000 jobs a month to keep up with growth in the work-age population.

The prospects of an interest rate hike next month were also bolstered by a solid rise in wages. Average hourly earnings increased 10 cents or 0.4 percent in October after advancing 0.3 percent in September.

The lift from a calendar quirk pushed the year-on-year increase to 2.8 percent, the biggest gain since June 2009, from 2.6 percent in September. The Fed on Wednesday struck a fairly upbeat note on inflation, saying price pressures had “increased somewhat since earlier this year.”

Despite the labor market nearing full employment, wage growth has been moderate. Economists blame this on a low labor force participation rate.

The participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, fell 0.1 percentage point to 62.8 percent last month, not too far from multi-decade lows, in part reflecting demographic changes.

The solid payrolls gain accompanied by the surge in wages could support consumer spending heading into the holiday season, and in turn keep the economy on a relatively higher growth path.

While the household survey showed a increase in the number of people saying they could not get to work because of bad weather, the department said it was difficult to assess the impact of Hurricane Matthew on job growth last month. The storm lashed the east coast of the country last month, causing extensive flooding. The average workweek held steady at 34.4 hours.

Manufacturing employment fell 9,000 last month, falling for a third straight month. Construction payrolls increased 11,000, rising for a second straight month.

Retail sector employment surprising fell 1,100 jobs, despite expectations of a jump in early holiday season hiring.

Professional and business services payrolls rose 43,000.

Temporary-help jobs, a harbinger for future hiring, increased 6,400. Government employment rose by 19,000 jobs.

Now The Vote Suppression Attempts!

Vote early at your local precinct. 

The alt right decided to play dirty bull in an attempt to disenfranchise voters in North Carolina and Florida. Social media pointed a posting that allegedly comes from the Hillary Clinton Presidential Campaign.

It says that you can skip the lines and vote by text.

No you can't.

Here's two other versions.

Deliberate attempt at discouraging Black vote.

There's no such thing as voting by text message and for those who are willing to push this, this is the signs of desperation.

The ads circulated on Twitter recently would have you believe otherwise.

Lifting imagery directly from Hillary Clinton's campaign materials, the ads encourage supporters of the Democratic nominee to "vote early" and "vote from home" by texting their candidate's name to a five-digit number.

"Save time. Avoid the line," one reads.

"Vote early. Text 'Hillary' to 59925," says another.

At least four such ads began making rounds on social media this week, each containing the Clinton campaign's "H" logo and a line saying they were "paid for by Hillary for President." Some featured images of Clinton that appear to be pulled from actual campaign marketing materials, while others showed a black woman and a Hispanic woman, in what may be an attempt to dupe to minority voters specifically. One was written entirely in Spanish.

We're approaching the final days of this god awful presidential election. Donald Trump is closing in on Hillary Clinton. The polls are "tightening" and Clinton is slipping in Ohio, Florida and North Carolina.

It's up to the American voter to put either the former first lady or the media mogul in the White House.