Insurgent Could Win Iowa's Open Seat!

The female version of  Stallmigo Ted Cruz (R-TX) is likely got this locked. The insurgent candidate for U.S. Senate Jodi Ernst is leading against whack politico Congressman Bruce Braley (D-IA). The insurgent candidate (left) waves to supporters with that idiotic former governor of Alaska (center).

The Des Moines Register has the insurgent candidate Jodi Ernst leading against Democratic Representative Bruce Braley (D-IA) in the fight for the U.S. Senate open seat in Iowa.

The insurgent could wake up an already dysfunctional Republican Party.

Obviously, the bets are likely a Republican takeover in the U.S. Senate. The Republicans practically dominated the media with their anti-Obama stance. Now that they've gotten an advantage in the polls, does it mean that the tides turn.

Republicans are hoping that Blacks, Hispanics, young voters, women and first time voters sit this out.

They want the Democrats strongest supporters to be at home. That's why they've passed these ridiculous voter identification laws, pull back early voting and the Supreme Court dissolves a portion of the Voting Rights Act.

Now Republicans are hoping that with a full Congress, they could repeal Patient Protection and Affordable Healthcare Act (aka Obamacare).

The Des Moines Register tells that Ernst got a 7-point lead. They added that this news buoys the GOP's hope that an Iowa victory will be the tipping point to a Republican takeover of the U.S. Senate.

Ernst, a state senator and military leader, enjoys 51 percent support among likely voters. That's a majority, and it's her biggest lead in the three Iowa Polls conducted this fall. Braley, a congressman and trial lawyer, gets 44 percent, according to The Des Moines Register's final Iowa Poll before Tuesday's election.

It's hard to see much in these poll results that Braley could capitalize on to build a groundswell, Selzer said. "None of this looks good for him," she said.

Democrats rally around former president Bill Clinton. Representative Bruce Braley (D-IA) hopes a Clinton could save his dragging campaign. They know President Barack Obama is too toxic for their campaigns. Democrats finally realized that Obama's race contributes to their dragging polls. And of course, those who sit out Midterms hurt also.

Braley has lost vote share since an early October Iowa Poll (he dropped from 46 percent to 44 percent) while Ernst has increased her share (from 47 percent to 51 percent now).

Another sign of trouble: Braley is losing by 3 points in his home congressional district in left-leaning northeast Iowa. In the early October poll, he was up by 1 point there.

Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) (Majority Leader) has gotten spooked by this news. He's hoping that last minute outreach could pull Braley back from disaster.

The news will thrill Republican activists nationwide, who are counting on Iowa as an anchor for regaining the majority in the U.S. Senate. On Saturday, a progressive group organized a conference call with Majority Leader Harry Reid to urge Iowa Democrats "to double down and save the Senate."

"If we win Iowa, we're going to do just fine," he said. "Iowa is critical, there's no other way to say it."

If Republicans control the Senate, Reid said, "think of what that would mean for our country."

What's going on in my opinion! Democrats are scrambled like eggs. They're getting cooked.

Despite the major accomplishments, the American public is short-term memory on this.

Ernst by my standings is leading by three points in my calculations of this U.S. Senate Race.

Calling it LEAN REPUBLICAN. The showdown for the Hawkeye.