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| Polling company generates talking point about high Black turnout. Republicans continue to discredit Black voters as race obsessed and "gubmint" dependents. |
The Pew Research Poll which is one of the many polls that got it wrong on the election made a shocking theme to the rise in the Black voter participation and the high turnout in last year's election.
For the first time in American history, the Black voter turnout surpassed the White voter turnout.
What helped President Barack Obama succeed in trouncing that perennial loser Mitt Romney, was the non-White vote. That means it was a heavy turnout of Black and Hispanic voters.
The Republicans publicity tour is to regain what little they've had in minority support. They haven't tried nor succeeded in dealing with issues facing Black America.
All the Republicans done was say Benghazi, Obama witch hunts and Obama phones.
Of course, these issues haven't put food on the plate. With the rising cost of food, fuel and heating oil, many Americans are turning to food banks and food stamp assistance. The Republicans want to cut entitlements and severely dent the safety nets because they're obsessed with watching videos from Loserville or the links from The Guy Who Throws Shit To The Wall.
These issues don't help Black and Hispanic Americans find work. Yet, the Republican Party complains constantly about how high Black unemployment is overwhelmingly high and they haven't passed one law that benefits.
These issues that the Republicans are harping on doesn't benefit in the area of interest of Black America or the general public.
These issues only achieve short term success among the ever so annoying right wing agitators from the talk radio and blog circuit. Continuously denying reality, conservatives are rallying for President Barack Obama's impending "impeachment" over these controversies.
By the Republicans taking the bait on these "scandals", they're reckoning with the loss of a voting block.
The Hispanic vote is very important as the Black voter. The Black voter is probably a permanent voting block for the Democratic Party. The Democrats are working hard to pass immigration reform. The Republicans are trying to push even more intrusive laws to stop Blacks from voting, undocumented workers from achieving citizenship, and LGBT community from marriage. They want to get into a woman's legs to prevent abortions. But yet when a woman has many children out of wedlock, the Republicans call them "gubmint" dependents and sluts.
Pew Research Center produced the talking points to those condescending White Republicans and their Black conservatives allies. They wrote that the Black vote could have been overwhelming due to inconsistencies in the highly populated Black areas.
The Census Bureau made big news last week when it reported that the black voter turnout rate (66.2%) exceeded the white voter turnout rate (64.1%) for the first time ever in 2012. But a closer look at the numbers raises some intriguing questions.
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| Valued and never taken for granted. |
It’s possible that the lines may have first crossed in 2008. But it’s also possible they may not have crossed at all.
Let’s start with the second scenario. It’s based on data that suggest that last year, blacks may have been more inclined than whites to report that they voted when in fact they didn't. This is known as a
“social desirability bias,” a familiar concern among survey researchers.
So they're saying "social desirability bias". Meaning that Blacks turnout because they were inspired to have the first Black president. Yeah, that's true.
Never in history, you would see such a turnout for the Black candidate. There have been many Black politicos who would run for president and never achieve the goal of being the nominee of a national ticket.
Only Barack Obama managed to beat back Hillary Clinton, a heavily favored Democratic candidate to become the nominee and eventually the president. Clinton being a face familiar in the White House as the former first lady, and later U.S. senator had huge Black support.
Until the Iowa caucuses, Clinton had almost 80% of the Black vote. But when Obama won the Iowa caucus, many Blacks started to notice. Obama managed to pull in Black voters after South Carolina win. Since then, the Obama campaign made it a top priority to help first time Black voters turnout for him. And in 2012, he to keep his supporters rallied up, despite pessimism.
Pew stated: [Might this be] because non-voting blacks were more eager than non-voting whites to tell survey takers that they voted for the first ever African-American president? While there’s no way of knowing for sure, the data are suggestive. When we plotted the state discrepancies in 2008 and 2004, we found a similar pattern, but we also found the racial skew was stronger in 2008 and 2012, the two elections in which Obama was on the ballot, than in 2004.
To better understand these patterns, we computed a “correlation coefficient,” which measures the relationship between two phenomena of interest—in this case, the over reporting of turnout in a state (the difference between the estimated and official voter turnout rates) and the share of a state’s adult population that is black. Our analysis finds a positive correlation of .52 (on a scale of -1 to 1) in 2012, .54 in 2008 and .41 in 2004. If we remove the two biggest outliers in the scatter plot analysis—Mississippi and Washington—the overall correlation remains positive, but it is only about half as large.
It’s also important to note that some states with small black populations over-reported, while a few states with large black populations under-reported. For example, the Census Bureau estimated that New Mexico’s voter turnout rate was 61.6%, compared with the official tally of 55%. New Mexico has a small share of blacks (2.7%) in its voting eligible population. On the other hand, the Census Bureau findings from Maryland, which has an age-eligible electorate that is 29% black, suggest that respondents under-reported their turnout by 2.5 percentage points.
Finally, it is also worth noting that just because voting was more widely over-reported in states with higher African-American populations, there is no way of knowing if blacks or non-blacks were more likely to over-report. This correlation is intriguing, but not definitive. In addition, one should keep in mind that the Census Bureau’s findings from individual states are subject to margins of error that may account for some of the apparent discrepancies in estimated and actual turnout rates.
Bottom line: This analysis doesn’t prove the Census Bureau’s finding is wrong. Nor does it negate the long-term turnout trends, which show that black turnout has been rising since 1996. It may, however, merit an asterisk alongside the claim that blacks turned out at a higher rate than whites in 2012.
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| Black conservatives constant whine about President Obama not caring about the Black community. |
But wait, what about the first scenario—the possibility that this milestone actually occurred in 2008, not 2012?
That assessment is based an analysis that removes from the pool of eligible voters all adults who have been disenfranchised as a result of felony convictions, something the Census Bureau does not (and cannot) do. According to the Sentencing Project, an advocacy group, nearly 6 million adults are ineligible to vote for that reason, a disproportionate share of who are black. If you recalculate turnout rates after removing those disenfranchised voters, then 68.5% of eligible blacks voted in 2008, compared with 67% of eligible whites, according to Bernard L. Fraga, a political scientist studying at Harvard. The Census Bureau, by contrast, had 66.1% of whites voting that year, compared with 64.7% of blacks.
So pick your data source and write your own history
No Pew, you get this straight, for over 50 years, the Black community fought their asses off to vote.
I mean Republicans aren't the NEW BLACK.
We just need to take a chill and understand that we are American too. We're not second class citizens those in the conservative/white supremacist bubble made us out to be.
We just broke the color barrier. The first Black president in modern history. No one would expect this could happen this fast. Right into the 2000s, our first Black president. Yeah, there's a monumental significance in the Black community. No doubt about it. But to discredit the high turnout to just "us Black folk" voting on race is another reason why there's no place for Black people in the Republican Party.
So take your statistics and condescending rhetoric and sample polls somewhere else!
We don't believe you and we'll keep proving you wrong.
