Allan Lichtman: It Points To Kamala Harris!

Kamala Harris has the keys to victory. It's her game to lose.

As much as I hate to say this, he never is wrong and its time to reluctantly put the pedal to the metal and get Kamala Devi Harris and Timothy James Walz across the finish line.

We could have our first woman, second African American, second biracial and first Asian American president. Kamala Harris could be the 47th President of the United States. 

After listening to former president Donald J. Trump at his Fox "town hall" with Sean "Softball", I concluded that the former president and vice presidential nominee J.D. Vance are going to find it hard to win if they continue to make "doom and gloom" their only solution to take on Harris and Walz.

Allan Lichtman, the political Nostradamus said that of his 13 keys, Harris has succeeded in most of them. Whereas it is still a close race and the only thing that matters is that Harris makes it to 270 electoral votes.

Lichtman revealed his decision Thursday morning in an op-ed video for The New York Times.

“The Democrats will hold on to the White House, and Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States,” Lichtman said in the video.

“At least, that’s my prediction for this race.”

The joyful campaign.

His forecasts are based on a historical index model he dubs the “Keys to the White House.”

The unique system, which he developed in the early 1980s with the Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, analyzes the political landscape through the lens of 13 true-false statements focused on the incumbent president’s party.

• 1 Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
• 2 No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
• 3 Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
• 4 No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
• 5 Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
• 6 Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
• 7 Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
• 8 No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
• 9 No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
• 10 No foreign or military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
• 11 Major foreign or military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
• 12 Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
• 13 Uncharismatic challenger: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

If six or more of the statements are false, then the challenger — in this case, Trump — is predicted to win.

On the final two keys, Lichtman said, “Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip.”

He noted that the Biden administration is deeply involved in Israel’s war in Gaza, which he called a “humanitarian disaster with no end in sight.”

If you don't vote for me, this country will go to hell like the likes you've never seen before.

“But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House,” Lichtman told the Times.

Lichtman’s analysis largely eschews poll results, campaign strategies, sound bites, policy plans and other factors that most political commentators and analysts tend to lean on.

But his system has yielded results.

Lichtman was one of the few political analysts to accurately predict ahead of the 2016 election that Trump would defeat then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. However, Lichtman’s model indicated that Trump would win the popular vote, which he lost despite securing the Electoral College.

Lichtman accurately predicted that President Joe Biden would beat Trump in the 2020 race.