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Thursday, April 04, 2024

"Uninstructed" Took 8% Of Wisconsin Democratic Primary Votes!

Will Biden and Harris get the message? They're jeopardizing their reelection chances.

Though Donald J. Trump and President Joe Biden clinched their pledged delegates to become their party's presumptive nominees, the primaries still continue.

Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan have a large Arab American and Muslim population.

Many of them are at their point of no return. They will not support Trump, Biden or even express interest in third party candidates.

The president and the U.S. stance on Israel has not changed despite the intentional airstrikes on the World Central Kitchen aid workers in the Gaza Strip. Biden was "outraged" and "heartbroken" by the tragedy. He and members of Congress continue to give unprecedented amounts of military and financial aid to Israel.

Democratic voters are strongly souring on Israel but Biden and his party are ignoring them. Many are no longer in support of an ethno-state [aka the Jewish state]. Many are seeing the misuse of allegations.

Islamophobia is way worse than antisemitism.

Biden narrowly beaten Trump in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Losing any of these states can make Biden a one term president. 

Both candidates and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. are pro Israel, old and completely out of touch. The U.S. election is so controversial for the fact that Trump is still resorting to this "us versus them" rhetoric. He ain't even defending his only one term's accomplishments other than his ramming through Supreme Court justices and inept federal judges.

The very fact that Democrats are willing to back a fascist regime on the perceptions of it being an ally has turned off its voters. Also it will be a down ballot issue as well. Abortion is a top issue, as is the economy, democracy in our own country, infrastructure and giving military aid to Israel and Ukraine. 

Biden has to earn 270 electoral votes and so far I have his odds slightly impove to 48% chance of winning a second term. I had it at 44% chance.

Trump has a 47% chance to win another term. However, his legal issues are a problem as well as the enthusiasm waning. He has a 85% support from Republicans. 94% of MAGA support.

In Wisconsin, "uninstructed delegation" took 48,093 votes, or 8.3% on the Democratic side, with 99% of the vote reported by Wednesday afternoon. Biden had 510,450 votes, or 88.6%. About 3% voted for Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips, who has ended his campaign and endorsed Biden.

Biden not listening.

Voters displeased with Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas war organized into a "Listen to Wisconsin" campaign that mirrored other states like Michigan and Minnesota, where a similar "uncommitted" option took about 13% and 19% of the vote in the Democratic primary, respectively.

The movement has picked up 26 delegates in other states. Biden has already earned the 1,968 delegates needed to secure his party's nomination. But uninstructed delegates could advocate for policy changes at the convention in Chicago.

Wisconsin's 8.4% percentage was less than similar "uncommitted" options in other states that held primaries Tuesday. In Connecticut, the uncommitted delegation was at 11.4% Wednesday afternoon with 98% of the vote in. In Rhode Island, it was 14.9% with 99% of the vote in — just teetering on the edge of picking up a delegate spot.

In Wisconsin, some voters on the Republican side also selected the "uninstructed delegation" option — about 2%, or 12,900. That option performed fourth best, after U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who took 12.8% and 3.3% of the vote, respectively.

Republican voters may have picked those options as a way of protesting former President Donald Trump, who took 475,375 votes, or 79.2%. While "uninstructed" voters pose a challenge to Biden, his raw vote totals and percentage in his party's primary was higher than Trump's.

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