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Saturday, February 04, 2023

Dems Move 2024 Primary To South Carolina!

Biden will announce his 2024 run after the State of the Union.

The Sun Belt states: Nevada, Colorado, Texas, Georgia, Florida, Arizona, Utah, Florida, North Carolina and South Carolina. These states saw population growth in 2020.

Democrats want to diversify their primaries so they can encourage more engagement with Black, Latino and Asian American voters. Seeing that Republicans made several inroads with minority voters, Democrats see the need to change the status quo.

So the far left is outraged that the Democratic National Committee has decided to make South Carolina the first state in the race for the presidential nomination. Jaime Harrison, the DNC chair and Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) see a potential to win back the Black vote.

In the beginning, it was the Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire primary. It often put Democratic presidential candidates in two states with majority white populations and a rush to win over their support. In the last two primaries, the Democratic nominee never won the Iowa Caucus or the Democratic candidate that won New Hampshire would be bantered with numerous other candidates who refused to concede when their odds are slim. 

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) has considered running again in 2024. He has often hinting a primary challenge to force President Joe Biden to move further to the left. 

His supporters, the extreme left known as the Bernie Bros. have went bonkers over it. 

They are the ones saying its unfair and it would eliminate a potential challenge from Sanders, Nina Turner, Marianne Williamson or a Democratic candidate that is a #NeverBiden.

Iowa and New Hampshire Democrats are furious at the decision. 

Democrats see no path forward for Iowa, Ohio and Florida in 2024. They lost the states in 2016 and 2022. So they will regroup and recalibrate their messaging.

South Carolina will now kick things off for Democrats, with Michigan — and potentially Georgia — joining the early states in the biggest shakeup of the presidential primary in years, while Nevada will go second.

New Hampshire could go on the same day as Nevada if its Republican legislators and governor change a state law. Georgia, too, will need cooperation from Republican officials to take advantage of the new slot now available to them. 

“This calendar does what is long overdue,” said DNC Chairman Jaime Harrison. "It puts Black voters at the front of the process in South Carolina. It keeps Nevada, where Latinos have been building power... And it adds Michigan, the heartland, where unions built the middle class of this nation. And Georgia, the forefront of the new South." 

“The Democratic Party looks like America," Harrison added, "And so does this proposal.”

The new calendar puts South Carolina first on Feb. 3, 2024, followed by New Hampshire and Nevada on Feb. 6, then Georgia on Feb. 13, and Michigan on Feb. 27. After that, any state is free to schedule their primary when they want.

The party finally exerted the political will to shake up the status quo after Iowa botched their 2020 caucuses, which delayed results for days, and as the state shifted further into the Republican column. 

Jim Clyburn told Democrats to look at a better outreach in the Sun Belt.

The calendar is still not final, however, since it is now up to the states to change their primary dates to comply. South Carolina, Nevada and Michigan have already codified their position, while the others have not.

Iowa and New Hampshire Democrats objected to the new calendar, warning that opening up the calendar to change could create chaos by inviting other states to try to elbow in and hurt Democrats' electoral prospects in their states.

Iowa Democratic Party Chair Rita Hart said the removal of Iowa will expose the party to charges that they have “turned their back on Iowa and rural America.”

The thornier issue, however, is New Hampshire, where a state law mandates that it holds the first primary a week before any other state in the country.

New Hampshire Democrats have asked for more time to try to come up with a solution, but most Democrats say the writing on the wall and expect there will be no solution to the impasse. 

Instead, New Hampshire seems likely to go ahead with a unsanctioned first-in-the-nation Democratic primary, even though it means the party will lose delegates to the Democratic National Convention next year and that any candidate who so much as puts their name on the ballot will face steep penalties from the DNC, such as being barred from debate stages or losing access to the voter file.  

“The DNC is set to punish us despite the fact that we don’t have the ability to unilaterally change state law,” said New Hampshire DNC member Joanne Dowdell. “This will only hurt President Biden in our purple battleground state.”

Democrats may wind up with someone like Williamson, the spiritual author who ran a long shot presidential campaign in 2020, as the most prominent Democrat on the ballot on an unsanctioned New Hampshire primary.

"If President Biden doesn't file for New Hampshire, it could provide an opening for an insurgent candidate to run and win the first primary of 2024 — something no one in this room wants to see," Dowdell added.

But in a party united behind Biden, there was little sympathy for their plight.

"No one state should have a lock on going first," said Michigan Rep. Debbie Dingell, a DNC member from the newly promoted state.

Those who spoke in favor of the new calendar received far more applause than their colleagues from Iowa or New Hampshire.

“Y’all, for far too long, our party’s nominating calendar has not reflected this country looks like,” said Georgia Rep. Nikema Williams, who is also the chairwoman of the state Democratic Party. “After today, we can proudly say that elevated the voices that have been silenced for far too long.” 

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