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Tuesday, May 03, 2022

The Long Road To Victory!

Tim Ryan gonna need that Shontel Brown energy in his quest to be the senator from Ohio.

As you may know, we still haven't got the results of the Ohio Republican senate race yet. 

However, we can confirmed that Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH) will be the nominee going into the U.S. Senate race as the Democratic nominee.

He easily defeated a Bernie Sanders-backed Morgan Harper. 

He has a long road to cross in order to be the next senator from Ohio. 

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) is a rare case in the state of Ohio. He won easily against Karen Renacci, who became the nominee after Karen Mandel, the top candidate at the time quit before the primaries. Mandel is running against Dummy Vance, Karen Gibbons, Karen Timken and Karen Nolan.

Nolan is appearing to be a surprise candidate. 

Anyway, if Nolan does become the nominee, Ryan will have a long challenge ahead of him. But if Vance, Timken, Gibbons or Mandel win, it could be a nail biter at best.

Ohio went to Washed Up 45 by eight points. The state has trended more conservative due to the fact it has a majority White population, the average pay for Ohioans is $49,000, college-educated Americans is 45% of the state in general. Many of the Ohioans are embolden by culture wars and do not seem to care about kitchen table issues like fixing roads, bridges and infrastructure.

Ryan is also trying to play on the "Blame China" card. It may work....It might not.

Ryan has little name recognition in Ohio. He is only known for running a failed presidential campaign and he lives in the Youngstown area. The city is a part of the rust belt. The population is 84,000 residents.

The city has suffered a lot since GM Lordstown closed. The steel plants are gone and many Democrats are willing to vote for Washed Up 45 because he promised the "pie in the sky". It also seems like Republicans are obsessed with blaming Biden for crime, inflation and the very things they oppose.

Ryan needs to go to Black churches, blighted neighborhoods and areas Democrats normally avoid.

He has to make a choice between siding with Biden or siding with Karen DeWine, the current Republican governor of Ohio who appears likely to be the nominee. 

When your friends become your enemies. DeWine and Nan Whaley personally know each other.

It also appears that Nan Whaley won her bid to be the Democratic nominee for governor. She is considered a weak candidate. She is friends with DeWine. Daytonians are not fond of her leadership as mayor of the rust belt city and she supports those damn red light cameras.

Nan Whaley has a 34% chance of winning the governor's race.

Tim Ryan has a 44% chance of winning the U.S. Senate race.

Shontel Brown has a 90% chance of winning the Democratic primary.

Karen Gibbons has a 15% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

Karen Nolan has a 25% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

Karen Mandel has a 20% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

Dummy Vance has a 25% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

Karen Timken has a 15% chance of winning the Republican nomination.

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