Recall By Law!

California voters could recall Gavin Newsom. Can he fend off the challenge?

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In a few weeks, the California recall election will be underway. If the current governor is replaced by a Republican, the Democrats could lose their majority in the Senate.

With allegations of Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) having possible dementia and ailing health, there's rumors of her being forced out or possibly resignation. If the Republicans do win control, they could replace her with Republican senator and ruin the slim majority the Democrats have.

Democratic governor Gavin Newsom is facing a recall election in September. The Republicans and some disgruntled independents are tired of face masks, high gas prices and progressive politics.

Now he is in real danger of being recalled by a hodge podge of misfits. 

A handful of extremists including an enabler of white supremacy, a washed up reality celebrity and a YouTube millionaire are on the list of challengers.

These candidates have no clue on how to fix the issues in California. All they got going for them is "what Newsom failed to do and how they're not him."

In February 2020, a group called the California Patriot Coalition began circulating a petition to recall Newsom, citing his administration's policies on immigration, homelessness, the state's drought emergency and taxes. Newsom faced multiple recall attempts but this one seems really serious.

Proponents of the recall say the movement is gaining momentum and it could be the end of the road for the once promising governor.

Question 1: Shall Gavin Newsom be recalled (removed) from the office of Governor of California?

Question 2: Which candidate should replace Newsom if he is recalled? 

There are 24 Republicans, 9 Democrats and 10 "No Party Preference" candidates, 2 Green Party and 1 Libertarian candidate on the ballot to replace Newsom.

One in particular is the controversial Black far-right agitator Karen Elder. The former talk radio host and "finger wagging" Elder launched his campaign in mid-July and has started to become somewhat of a serious threat to Newsom. Elder is against the mask mandates.

Elder used his radio show to attack Black fathers and former President Barack Obama. He also spreads misinformation about the coronavirus and is anti-Muslim, anti-LGBTQ and anti-science. Elder is hoping to earn the endorsement of Washed Up 45.

Elder entered the recall race in mid-July and has already brought in at least $5.5 million for his campaign. A Los Angeles-based host of a nationally syndicated conservative talk show, Elder has been the most recent target for Newsom's recall campaign, which claims Elder's show serves as a platform for disinformation on science and COVID-19 and that he's further "to the right" of former President Trump.

"Think about the judges he could appoint," Newsom said Friday in San Francisco. "Who would he have appointed to replace Kamala Harris in the U.S. Senate? How would that impact the trajectory of this country? What would this mean for the future of the Democratic party in our efforts to keep the House of Representatives?" 

Elder, like other Republican candidates in this recall, have gone after Newsom's COVID-19 measures.

"This man that I'm going to defeat on September 14, he shut down the state in the most severe way than any of the other 49 governors have," Elder said Friday in San Jose. "When I get elected, assuming there are still facemask mandates and vaccine mandates, they will be repealed right away and then I'll break for breakfast."

If Newsom is recalled, it would be the second time that California voters have recalled a governor. 

In 2003, Democratic Governor Gray Davis was recalled and replaced by Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger. Schwarzenegger went on to win a full term as governor in 2006. 

The memories of that race still sting Democrats. Hicks said because of the 2003 result, he's glad that there isn't a strong Democratic candidate challenging Newsom. In that election, then-Democratic Lieutenant Governor Cruz Bustamante ran as a replacement candidate. 

"We had a Democratic governor and we had the 'backup option' and the result was Arnold Schwarzenegger," Hicks said. "I think that California Democrats carry that lesson with us to this fight."

Democrats hold a massive advantage in party registration numbers. As of July 16, there were 10.3 million registered Democrats in California, accounting for 46.5% of all registered voters. There were about 5.3 million Republican voters and about 5.1 million who registered as "No Party Preference." 

But recent polling suggests that Newsom is far from in the clear and his biggest issue may be complacency among Democratic voters. 

According to a new CBS News poll, 78% of Republicans say they will definitely vote, while 73% of Democrats say they definitely will. Republican voters are also more motivated to cast ballots than Democrats. The poll found that among registered voters, 54% think Newsom should not be recalled, compared to 46% who think he should. But among likely voters, the gap narrowed to 52% against the recall compared to 48% who support it. 

Other recent polling from California has shown a similar picture. A Berkley IGS poll from late July found that 51% of registered voters wanted to vote "no" on the recall, while 36% planned to vote "yes." But among the voters most likely to cast a ballot, 50% planned to vote "no," while 47% planned to vote "yes." A Core Decision Analytics poll released in early August indicated a similar trend, but showed Newsom with a slightly better position among the likeliest voters. 

This goofball could be the next governor of California.

"Those that think this thing is not close – I'd hate to disabuse you. It is," Newsom said recently. 

Newsom's team is hammering the message to Democrats who are considering sitting on the sidelines.

"It [the recall] will happen if Democrats don't vote. Period," said Nathan Click, senior adviser for Newsom's anti-recall efforts.

The main committee defending Newsom raised more than $46 million through July 31 and had more than $26 million in cash, giving Newsom's side a massive warchest in the final stretch. 

According to a source familiar with the president and vice president's planning, President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris will be taking an active role over the next month in the effort to stop the recall. That could include potential in-person events and other forms of engagement. 

"He knows how to get the job done because he's been doing it," Mr. Biden said about Newsom in a recent statement, praising his response to the pandemic, his environmental work and his advocacy for women, immigrants and the LGBTQ community. 

"And to keep him on the job, registered California voters should vote 'no' on the recall election by September 14 and keep California moving forward," he added. 

Republicans remain optimistic about their chances not only because of enthusiasm, but also because of some key victories in 2020. Karen MillIan Patterson, chair of the California Republican Party, said Democrats believe that Republicans' only shot to win is low turnout, but 2020 showed the GOP can win in the Golden State. 

"We had record turnout last year with mail-in ballots and we won where we played," Patterson said, pointing to four GOP flips in Congressional elections and wins on statewide ballot initiatives. 

Still, Patterson acknowledged the pro-recall movement's strong enthusiasm is due to its roots at the grassroots level and Newsom's decision making. 

"This isn't something that started in the California Republican Party, this is an outside organization of Californians of all political affiliation," Patterson said. "We are incredibly fortunate as Republicans that (Newsom) is our governor and has done everything possibly wrong and has failed the California people on every single level."